Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 13.306109 15.230072 17.281046 19.624221 22.220999 25.004543 28.207670
2025-11-09 10.295363 12.830625 15.717363 19.225120 23.348482 28.017335 33.678050
2025-11-16 8.441309 11.244182 14.602002 18.875948 24.122312 30.301393 38.074076
2025-11-23 6.998895 9.890928 13.513610 18.312526 24.422796 31.858687 41.498243
2025-11-30 6.149380 9.151074 13.058839 18.413957 25.444157 34.233363 45.910021
2025-12-07 5.448882 8.509384 12.638247 18.473864 26.348292 36.431407 50.118572
2025-12-14 4.910104 8.020207 12.356187 18.659220 27.376976 38.779980 54.555071
2025-12-21 4.404101 7.516082 11.994876 18.682652 28.150737 40.783960 58.570860
2025-12-28 4.097744 7.272762 11.972942 19.158303 29.538532 43.627538 63.763670
2026-01-04 3.787541 6.987605 11.857610 19.474297 30.693302 46.170680 68.607033
2026-01-11 3.452699 6.626040 11.592110 19.538059 31.469144 48.194193 72.777093
2026-01-18 3.035814 6.083318 10.999397 19.060365 31.414274 49.026900 75.292931
2026-01-25 2.687539 5.624558 10.507830 18.710452 31.534698 50.118874 78.223063
2026-02-01 2.372495 5.189173 10.017022 18.323431 31.567620 51.069103 80.962645
2026-02-08 2.103640 4.806804 9.580629 17.987667 31.648064 52.071162 83.782270
2026-02-15 1.832952 4.387851 9.044262 17.446078 31.367013 52.507055 85.763706
2026-02-22 1.687902 4.199694 8.897670 17.543569 32.096114 54.473258 90.044788
2026-03-01 1.551234 4.012455 8.736324 17.601152 32.754118 56.339985 94.213629
2026-03-08 1.442921 3.872255 8.649612 17.779322 33.609334 58.526543 98.909809
2026-03-15 1.325323 3.697569 8.482852 17.801847 34.199269 60.307351 103.021568
2026-03-22 1.267242 3.649938 8.556809 18.259123 35.533285 63.290009 109.042850
2026-03-29 1.196475 3.564618 8.549074 18.562956 36.611526 65.888396 114.521103
2026-04-05 1.106638 3.422853 8.416396 18.624268 37.268320 67.821442 118.997041